The downswing into the current economic slowdown has been faster than anyone has anticipated.
The GS indicator - GLI (Global Leading Indicator) shows that we are circling the drain, rotating from slowdown to contraction to recovery to expansion and now - in November - the indicators are pointing to a rapid shift into a slowdown phase. The GLI is losing momentum fast, has made lower cycle highs each time since the 2009 'recovery' began. We are headed for the lower left hand corner: GLI Deceleration and Contraction.
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