Wednesday, May 30, 2012

Housing Still In Depression, Home Prices Still Declining, While Obama Is Busy Executing People

Housing Still In Depression, Home Prices Still Declining, While Obama Is Busy Executing People

The above chart shows the annual change in the S&P/Case-Shiller Composite-10 home price index since 2000. According ot the index, home prices declined in March, and the Composite 10 index reached its lowest level since 2003.

The latest (5/29/12) release of the S&P/Case-Shiller home (CSI) price indices for March reported that both the Composite-10 price index (based on 10 selected typical cities in US) and the Composite-20 price index (based on 20 selected typical cities in US) both declined since February . This has resulted in the lowest level seen to on the Composite-10 since early 2003 and the largest peak decline seen since the nearly six year old housing bust began in 2006.

The 10-city composite index declined 2.85% as compared to March 2011 while the 20-city composite declined 2.57% over the same period. Both of the broad composite indices show significant peak declines slumping -35.21% for the 10-city national index and -35.07% for the 20-city national index on a peak comparison basis.

    – According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, 11.8% of homeowners with mortgages (i.e., more than 6 million homeowners) were either delinquent on their payments or in foreclosure at the end of the first quarter.

    – According to CoreLogic, about 22% of residential properties with mortgages are currently underwater. Add to this the currently high unemployment and underemployment rates, and tight credit conditions, one gets a recipe for further price declines.

    The Case-Shiller indices are expected to trend down a bit further, but that a bottom is in sight.

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